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1、INTERNATIONA1MONETARYFUNDREGIONA1ECONOMICOUT1OOKSUB-SAHARANAFRICAheBigEndingSqueeze2023APRWor1dEconomicandFinancia1SurveysREGIONA1ECONOMICOUT1OOKSUB-SAHARANAFRICATheBigFundingSqueeze2023APRI1Copyright2023Internationa1MonetaryFundCata1ogingdn-Pub1icationDataIMF1ibraryNames:Internationa1MonetaryFund,p
2、ub1isher.Tit1e:Regiona1economicout1ook.Sub-SaharanAfrica:thebigfundingsqueeze.Othertit1es:Sub-SaharanAfrica:thebigfundingsqueeze.Wor1deconomicandfinancia1surveys.Description:Washington,DC:Internationa1MonetaryFund,2023.Wor1deconomicandfinancia1surveys.Apr.2023.Inc1udesbib1iographica1references.Ident
3、ifiers:ISBN9798400235641(Eng1ishPaper)9798400235771(ePub)9798400236044(WebPDF)Subjects:1CSH:Africa,Sub-Saharan-Economicconditions.Economicforecasting-Africa,Sub-Saharan.Economicdeve1opmentAfrica,Sub-Saharan.Africa,Sub-Saharan-Economicpo1icy.C1assification:1CCHC800.R44562023TheRegiona1EconomicOut1ook
4、:Sub-SaharanAfricaispub1ishedtwiceayear,inthespringandfa11,toreviewdeve1opmentsinsub-SaharanAfrica.Bothprojectionsandpo1icyconsiderationsarethoseoftheIMFstaffanddonotnecessari1yrepresenttheviewsoftheIMFzitsExecutiveBoard,orIMFManagement.Pub1icationordersmaybep1acedon1ineorthroughthemai1:Internationa
5、1MonetaryFund,Pub1icationServicesP.O.Box92780zWashington,DC20090zU.S.A.T.+(1)F.+(1)Dub1icationsIMF.orgIMFbookstoreaqe1ibrarv.IMF.orgFinda11pub1ishedRegiona1EconomicOut1ook:Sub-SaharanAfricahttos:WWW.imf.orq/en/PUbIiCationSREOSSAContentsAcknow1edgmentsvCountryGroupingsviAssumptionsandConventionsviiEx
6、ecutiveSummary1TheBigFundingSqueeze.2RecentDeve1opments:TheAAakingsofaFundingCrisis3TheOut1ookforaTwo-speedRecoveryin20246FourMainPo1icyPriorities7Conc1usion13References14Statistica1Appendix15FIGURESFigure 1. Sub-SaharanAfrica:SovereignSpreads,2023-233Figure 2. Sub-SaharanAfrica:InterestPaymentstoRe
7、venue,Exc1udingGrants4Figure 3. Sub-SaharanAfrica:SourcesofFinancing4Figure 4. Sub-SaharanAfrica:Rea1GDPGrowth,20235Figure 5. Rea1GDPPerCapita,2019-245Figure 6. Sub-SaharanAfrica:Rea1GDPGrowth,2023-246Figure 7. Sub-SaharanAfrica:EurobondsRepayments,2023-258Figure 8. Sub-SaharanAfrica:DebtRatioatEnd-
8、2023andFisca1AdjustmentNeeds8Figure 9. Sub-SaharanAfrica:DriversofChangesinPub1icDebtRatiobetweenEnd-2012andEnd-20239Figure 10. Sub-SaharanAfrica:MedianInf1ation,December2023-February202310Figure 11. Sub-SaharanAfrica:ChangesinPo1icyRateandInf1ation10Figure 12. Sub-SaharanAfrica:ExchangeRateversusUS
9、Do11ar11Figure 13. C1imateFinanceF1owstoSub-SaharanAfrica,202312TAB1ESSub-SaharanAfrica:MemberCountriesofGroupingsviSub-SaharanAfrica:MemberCountriesofRegiona1GroupingsviSub-SaharanAfrica:CountryAbbreviationsviiSTATISTICA1TAB1ESSA1.Rea1GDPGrowthandConsumerPrices,Average17SA2.Overa11Fisca1Ba1ance,Inc
10、1udingGrantsandGovernmentDebt18SA3.BroadMoneyandExterna1CurrentAount,Inc1udingGrants19SA4.Externa1Debt,Officia1Debt,DebtorBasedandReserves20Acknow1edgmentsTheApri12023issueoftheRegiona1EconomicOut1ook:Sub-SaharanAfricawaspreparedbyateam1edbyWenjieChenandunderthesupervisionof1ucEyraudandCatherinePatt
11、i11o.Theteaminc1udedHanyAbde1-1atif1AnnaBe1ianska,MarijnBo1huis,Ba1azsCsonto,C1earyHaines,SaanyaJain,1aurentKemoe,HamzaMighri1SaadQuayyum,MoustaphaMbohouMama,PrithaMitra,HenryRaw1ings,IvanovaReyes,AndrewTiffin,andQianqianZhang.Char1otteVazquezwasresponsib1efordocumentproduction,withassistancefromYao
12、NourdineOuattara.TheeditingandproductionwereoverseenbyChery1ToksozoftheCommunicationsDepartment.CountryGroupingsSub-SaharanAfrica:MemberCountriesofGroupingsOi1ExportersOtherResource-IntensiveCountriesNon-Resource-IntensiveCountriesMidd1e-IncomeCountries1ow-IncomeCountriesCountriesinFragi1eandConf1ic
13、t-AffectedSituations1Ango1aBotswanaBeninAngo1aBurkinaFasoBurkinaFasoCameroonBurkinaFasoBurundiBeninBurundiBurundiChadCentra1AfricanCaboVerdeBotswanaCentra1CamernCongo,Repub1icofRepub1icComorosCaboVerdeAfricanRepub1icCentra1AfricanEquatoria1GuineaCongo,CtedIvoireCameroonChadRepub1icGabonDemocraticEsw
14、atiniComorosCongo,ChadNigeriaRepub1icoftheEthiopiaCongo,Repub1icofDemocraticComorosSouthSudanEritreaGambia,TheCotedIvoireRepub1icoftheCongo,DemocraticGhanaGuinea-BissauEquatoria1GuineaEritreaRepub1icoftheGuineaKenyaEswatiniEthiopiaCongo,Repub1icof1iberia1esothoGabOnGambia,TheEritreaMa1iMadagascarGha
15、naGuineaEthiopiaNamibiaMa1awiKenyaGuinea-BissauGuinea-BissauNigerMauritius1esotho1iberiaMa1iSierra1eoneMozambiqueMauritiusMadagascarMozambiqueSouthAfricaRwandaNamibiaMa1awiNigerTanzaniaSaoTom6NigeriaMa1iNigeriaZambiaandPrincipeSoTom6MozambiqueSouthSudanZimbabweSenega1andPrincipeNigerZimbabweSeyche11esSenega1RwandaTogoSeyche
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